Joe Biden and the Democrats are scrambling for a winning message.
And they finally believe that they have landed on one.
But this left-wing author just burst the Democrats’ bubble for the midterms.
In light of Supreme Court rulings that reaffirmed Second Amendment rights and kicked the abortion question back to the states, Democrats are attempting to mobilize around guns and abortion.
They need something to get voters to the polls in what appears to be a wave election for the Republicans.
Joe Biden’s approval ratings are historically bad, and Republicans have a lead in the generic Congressional ballot that signals a massive victory for the GOP in November.
Democrats are hoping that fear-mongering about guns and abortion will help them win the suburbs, but left-wing social scientist Ruy Teixeira says their plan could be a bust.
Teixeira wrote, “The Democrats have a plan…sort of. In the face of a dreadful political environment dominated by voters’ negative judgment on Democrats’ economic stewardship and further defined by strong disapproval of Democrats’ approach on issues like crime and immigration, Democrats propose to flip the script by focusing their message on abortion and guns. Here they feel they are on stronger ground and can win the all-important battle for the suburbs.”
Democrats believe this message appeals to college-educated white suburban voters, but Teixeira points out that may not be the case.
He continued, “Start with who actually lives in the suburbs. Contrary to popular perception, less than a third of the suburban vote nationwide is made up of college-educated whites, the presumed locus of appeal for the suburban abortion/guns/very liberal on social issues vote. In fact, about three-fifths of suburban white voters are working class (noncollege).”
So the people Democrats are targeting more resemble urban hipsters and academics than people in the suburbs.
Teixeira added, “And just how liberal are these college-educated voters anyway? Overall, according to Gallup, just 30 percent of adults with a four year degree only describe themselves as liberal and 36 percent of those with some postgraduate education (the less numerous group) do so. Putting this together with the data about suburban demographics, this implies that perhaps one-ninth (a third of a third) of suburban voters are white college-educated liberals. Perhaps the figure is a bit higher but I doubt that it’s much higher.”
Democrats are appealing to the wokest of the woke, but they do not comprise the majority of people within the suburban demographic.
Teixeira added that “in Georgia, where Democrat Raphael Warnock hopes to hold onto his Senate seat against Republican (and football legend) Herschel Walker, the Atlanta and Augusta suburbs are 49 percent white working class to just 19 percent white college, while the small metro areas (Savannah, Macon, etc.) are 42 percent white noncollege to 18 percent white college. The large proportions of black and secondarily Hispanic voters in these suburbs, who we know to be generally less liberal than white college graduates, seem more likely to be concerned with the very economic issues that are dragging the Democrats down…The Democrats may be basing their strategy around an electorate that they wish existed but does not in the real world.”
The suburbs don’t seem to be the fertile ground that Democrats believe it is, which should have been apparent after Glenn Youngkin’s victory in Virginia.
Stay tuned to Right News Wire for any updates to this ongoing story.