Gas was a little over four-and-a-half dollars per gallon when the Iran conflict was at full boil.
It’s now under four dollars – and Trump’s approval just hit its highest point since February.
Four men had 30 years to do what Trump just did, and every one of them passed.
The Number Democrats Spent Three Months Waiting to See
Trump’s approval hit 47 percent in the Daily Mail/JL Partners poll – the highest mark he’s seen since Operation Epic Fury began in February.
That’s a four-point climb from 43 percent, the floor he held for three straight months through spiking energy costs, nonstop media pounding, and a Strait of Hormuz closure that rattled global oil markets.
He held.
https://twitter.com/ginamilan_/status/2069446275498451152?s=20
Now the memorandum of understanding with Iran is signed and the numbers are moving.
The Rasmussen daily tracker shows Trump at 44 percent, up from a recent low of 40.
What Democrats Thought Would Break Him
Political scientists have tracked presidential approval through every major U.S. military conflict since World War II.
The Gulf War gave George H.W. Bush a 29-point net approval surge.
Iraq gave George W. Bush 17 points right after the invasion launched.
Trump got none of that when the Iran operation began – his numbers sat flat between 38 and 39 percent for the first two weeks, which had Democrats convinced they’d finally found the issue that would end him.
They spent three months waiting for the collapse.
It never came.
At a Pennsylvania Factory, Trump Said the Part They Can’t Argue With
Speaking at an event in eastern Pennsylvania Monday, Trump named names.
Biden. Obama. Bush. Clinton.
https://twitter.com/FurkanGozukara/status/2069722753263976867?s=20
Four presidents who watched Iran’s capabilities grow for three decades while Washington issued warnings and moved on.
“You can’t let them blow up the Middle East and then us, if that’s possible,” Trump said. “We would have gotten them before, but they would have blown up Israel, they would have blown up the entire Middle East.”
He called the operation a necessary “detour” – and made the case that every economic consequence, every rough poll number, every gas price spike was the cost of solving a problem his predecessors refused to touch.
The Pollster That Actually Called 2024 Says the Bounce Is Real
Reuters/Ipsos has Trump at 34 percent.
That’s the same outfit that showed Kamala Harris ahead by two points the week before Trump won the popular vote and all seven swing states.
Rasmussen had Trump up three in October 2024.
Rasmussen is the one showing the climb now.
Trump wasn’t in Pennsylvania for the scenery – he was there to campaign for Representative Ryan Mackenzie, a GOP incumbent who held his seat in 2024 by fewer than 4,500 votes and faces a serious challenge in November.
https://twitter.com/trumptruthsbot/status/2069787106386579843?s=20
Republicans hold a single-digit House majority.
Every race matters.
The Iran issue – the one Democrats counted on to drive a midterm wave – just got resolved.
Gas prices are falling.
Trump’s numbers are rising.
Four presidents passed on the problem.
Trump handled it, took the political hit, and came out the other side with his coalition intact.
That’s not a detour.
That’s the whole point.
Sources:
- Randy DeSoto, “Trump’s Poll Numbers Surge to Highest Point in Months as Iran Conflict Winds Down,” The Western Journal, June 23, 2026.
- “Trump Vows Economy to Rebound as Iran Price Shocks Reverberate,” Bloomberg, June 23, 2026.
- G. Elliott Morris, “I graphed every president’s approval rating during ‘rally around the flag’ events,” gelliottmorris.com, March 13, 2026.
- Nate Silver, “Iran War support: Latest Polls,” Silver Bulletin, June 2026.