The problems are piling up for Kamala Harris with no end in sight.
She thought that things couldn’t possibly get any worse for her.
And Kamala Harris was stunned after she got this bad news from the last place she expected.
CNN expert warns that Kamala Harris could be in trouble in Wisconsin
Vice President Kamala Harris’ path to victory on Election Day increasingly looks like it depends on a sweep of the Rust Belt swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
She’s trailing former President Donald Trump in the Sun Belt swing states, which would make the Rust Belt her only path if she gets shut out there.
Wisconsin has been one of the closest states in the country in the last two Presidential elections.
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said that Trump could be in a “very strong position” if polls are underestimating his strength in Wisconsin again.
“One of the real questions I have is whether the polls are actually going to be any good this time around, because you’ll look in 2020, what you see in the final polls in Wisconsin, you saw Biden up by 8 [points],” Enten said. “The actual result was Biden by a point, now I’ll note, I rounded that number up, I think it was 0.63 percentage points.”
President Joe Biden carried Wisconsin in the 2020 Election by about 20,000 votes.
“So the question is, are the polls actually gonna be right this time around or are they gonna, again, underestimate Donald Trump?” Enten asked. “If so, Donald Trump is in a very strong position in the Badger State.”
Wisconsin will prove to be a pivotal state again
CNN’s model gave Trump an 88% chance of winning the election if he won Wisconsin while it was 82% for Kamala.
“Chance they win the election if they win Wisconsin, for Kamala Harris, if she wins Wisconsin, 82% chance she wins the election,” Enten said. “For Donald Trump, it’s an 88% chance if he wins the election because the bottom line is, for Kamala Harris, the state of Wisconsin is more pivotal than it is for Donald Trump. It’s part of, of course, that Great Lake wall.”
Trump has a narrow .2% edge over Kamala in the RealClearPolitics polling average for Wisconsin.
Polling underestimated him in the state in the 2016 Election when he became the first Republican Presidential candidate to win the state since Ronald Reagan in his 1984 landslide.
Trump carried that state by about 23,000 votes that year against two-time failed Democrat Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.
His strength in Wisconsin could be underestimated for the third straight year.
The Wall Street Journal reported that U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) had Trump up by three points over Kamala in her internal polling of Wisconsin.
A sweep of Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona would mean that Trump only needs to win one of the Rust Belt swing states to reach 270 Electoral Votes and become the next President.
Winning Wisconsin was the tipping point state that put him over 270 Electoral Votes in 2016.
The state could send him back to the White House this election.
